Poverty Does Not Cause Terrorism
Alan Krueger, a professor of economics, makes an observation about terrorism.
One set of factors that I examined did consistently raise the likelihood that people from a given country will participate in terrorism—namely, the suppression of civil liberties and political rights, including freedom of the press, the freedom to assemble, and democratic rights. Using data from the Freedom House Index, for example, I found that countries with low levels of civil liberties are more likely to be the countries of origin of the perpetrators of terrorist attacks. In addition, terrorists tend to attack nearby targets. Even international terrorism tends to be motivated by local concerns.
So let me get this straight. Those willing to shed other’s blood are less likely to do so when the state they find themselves in respects liberal values. Some of my readers have led me to believe that liberal values hold the same propensity for violence as do other values. Huh. So it turns out that liberal values reduce a citizens willingness to commit violence.
Incidentally this piece is about how poverty is not a very good predictor of terrorism. Even though he has much empirical data, you can color me skeptical. I would like to see how poverty and terrorism was calculated in the studies showing no correlation.
The author notes:
Additional support for these conclusions comes from research I conducted on the nationalities of foreign insurgents in Iraq. Specifically, I studied 311 combatants, representing 27 countries, who were captured in Iraq. Although the vast majority of insurgents are native Iraqis, motivated by domestic issues, foreigners are alleged to have been involved in several significant attacks. I looked at the characteristics of the countries insurgents came from, and, importantly, of the countries with no citizens captured in Iraq. It turned out that countries with a higher GDP per capita were actually more likely to have their citizens involved in the insurgency than were poorer countries.
While it’s true that Saudi Arabia has high GDP it not entirely clear how well distributed that wealth is among the citizens. If I had to guess, given that Saudi Arabia is a Monarchy (The old fashion term for socialism) wealth distribution must not be very great. If the other studies that show no correlation between terrorism and poverty are based on GDP I would argue thats the reason.
The author embraces the notion that liberal values reduces terrorism. However, invariably, liberal values lead to wealthier nations which should have improved wealth distribution. I wonder if studies have been done to see if there is a correlation between wealth and liberal values. The data would probably show a relationship giving indirect evidence for poverty at least partly playing a role in terrorism.
One final thing of interest. The author states:
Support turned out to be stronger among those with a higher level of education. For example, while 26 percent of illiterates and 18 percent of those with only an elementary education opposed or strongly opposed armed attacks, the figure for those with a high school education was just 12 percent. The least supportive group turned out to be the unemployed, 74 percent of whom said they support or strongly back armed attacks. By comparison, the support level for merchants and professionals was 87 percent.
This has been my experience working in Academy. So called educated people are really good at apologizing for human butchers. It’s even present on my blog when the most educated of my readers refuse to agree to the proposition that on the whole killing innocent people is a bad thing. Its interesting that the more educated one becomes the less able they are to discern between good and bad. No doubt this is because such thinking is heavily vilified for its lack of nuance. This leads to perverse outcomes like supporting those that intentionally kill innocent civilians and advocating for presidents of oppressive regimes killing our soldiers be allowed to speak.
There is wisdom in good and bad. One must be wise in how it’s used.

November 15th, 2007 at 3:07 am
I’m really confused. I thought you hated liberals?
please explain.
November 15th, 2007 at 1:12 pm
Liberal values does not equal political liberals. Political liberals are down on liberal values particularly when those values are used in defense of free markets.
November 15th, 2007 at 6:12 pm
“invariably, liberal values lead to wealthier nations which should have improved wealth distribution”
Invariably? Okay, I’ll try to pick a counterexample that’s close to home so I don’t get “uh, I don’t know anything about that country”. So Mexico, with its exceptionally low tax rate and deregulated market structure, should have more wealth and a lower gini coefficient the US or Canada, both of which have less liberal economies?
“killing innocent people is a bad thing”
You’re the one who has said that he is happy with the way the US handled WW2. This included killing innocent people. Unless of course you want to take the position that no one is truly innocent, and if that is true talking about whether it is right or wrong to kill imaginary people is silly.
“Those willing to shed other’s blood are less likely to do so when the state they find themselves in respects liberal values. Some of my readers have led me to believe that liberal values hold the same propensity for violence as do other values. Huh. So it turns out that liberal values reduce a citizens willingness to commit violence.”
Correlation is not the same as causation. In fact, often the onset of violence precedes the onset of communism, suggesting that the causality may in fact be the opposite of what you suggest (for example: China).
“the vast majority of insurgents are native Iraqis”
Doesn’t this contradict what you said earlier - that the Iraq war is not a recruiting tool for terrorists, and insurgents is a nice word for terrorist?
“The least supportive group turned out to be the unemployed, 74 percent of whom said they support or strongly back armed attacks.”
You do realize what this implies, right? Of the demographic group least in favor of attacking US soldiers violently, 74% are in favor of people who kill them. Yes, it really sounds like those Iraqis are happy about the U.S. continuing to be there.
November 15th, 2007 at 6:32 pm
Sigh.
The only part of your response that gets at my argument is a trite heuristic.
Well no shit Sherlock. You clearly are just arguing to argue. You don’t’ believe what you are saying or worse, you aren’t saying anything. Makes arguing with you unrewarding.
You won’t affirm or deny this basic proposition:
On average socialism revolution lead to more bloodshed than liberal revolutions.
It makes having this argument virtually impossible. And extremly boring I might add. One can always nickel and dime another’s argument. Criticizing what has been extended is easy because that extension defines the constraint in which it can be criticized. You avoid such extension out of insecurity about possible contingencies once the constraints have been defined.
Talk about boring. Never extending just criticize. Snoooze-o-rama.
November 15th, 2007 at 11:22 pm
Frankly Steve, I don’t care where you stand and I’m baffled that you generally seem to have such an obsession with determining where I stand. I guess I should be flattered, but I don’t see how anyone should care where I stand - only what evidence and reason I can present. I only really care about evidence and reason, not about stands. If all you are doing is stating your stand, and you refuse to address any criticism of the evidence upon which you are supposedly basing this stand, I don’t really see any way we can have a conversation that doesn’t ultimately amount to bashing. I can do that, but for me, it gets boring after a while if it’s all you are doing.
I’m sorry to hear that you find it unrewarding to have discussions centered around evidence and reason. Unfortunately, I have a different opinion.