Nobel Prize ≠ Intelligence
Friday, October 17th, 2008In today’s New York Times, the new Nobel laureate Paul Krugman proves that he either should give his medal back, or that the Nobel committee is populated by a bunch of liberals. He claims that the answer to our current economic problems is deficit spending—as if more federal spending is going to change the un-competitive nature of America’s economy. The federal government has neither the resources nor the expertise to do such a thing, and it annoys me that so many people think it does.
On the other hand, there’s a lot the federal government can do for the economy. It can provide extended benefits to the unemployed, which will both help distressed families cope and put money in the hands of people likely to spend it. It can provide emergency aid to state and local governments, so that they aren’t forced into steep spending cuts that both degrade public services and destroy jobs. It can buy up mortgages (but not at face value, as John McCain has proposed) and restructure the terms to help families stay in their homes.
And this is also a good time to engage in some serious infrastructure spending, which the country badly needs in any case. The usual argument against public works as economic stimulus is that they take too long: by the time you get around to repairing that bridge and upgrading that rail line, the slump is over and the stimulus isn’t needed. Well, that argument has no force now, since the chances that this slump will be over anytime soon are virtually nil. So let’s get those projects rolling.
About the only thing I can agree with is some infrastructure spending—our nation lags behind in that respect and it is one of the few things I think the government is good for. We might as well do it at this time since it could indeed help some folks who can’t find other work, and provide a small stimulus to the economy while we invest in our future.
But infrastructure spending should not be seen as a way to ‘fix’ the economy—it won’t. The New Deal did not end the Great Depression, WWII and massive deficit spending did. But we should not continue to borrow from future generations to prop up a limping economy. The government can inject borrowed money into a failing economy, but it cannot create a sustainable one.
We are experiencing a massive market correction and reallocation of capital. We must let the market do its thing, and we do not need the government coming in to distort values. We are in for tough times no matter what we do, but we will be much better off in the long run if we keep the government out of the market. You would think the winner of the Nobel prize in Economics would understand that.
